Global sanctions reach record high
The global sanctions landscape has reached unprecedented levels.
There are approximately 82,000 individuals and entities now subject to economic restrictions worldwide.
The figures come from the latest Global Sanctions Index (GSI) report, released by LSEG Risk Intelligence.
The report reveals that annual sanctions inflation has accelerated to 17.1%, up from 16.1% in the previous year, with the GSI reaching a value of 446 – a 446% increase since the baseline measurement in January 2017.
Mike Meadon, Director of Asia Pacific at LSEG Risk Intelligence and architect of the GSI, describes the current environment as one of “sanctions hyperinflation.” This is a sustained multi-year trend of rapidly increasing sanctioned persons that mirrors traditional economic inflation patterns.
He noted: “The effects of sanctions inflation can be far-reaching, with increased volumes of sanctions adding exponentially to the complexity and costs of compliance with global regulations.”
The phenomenon has been driven by multiple factors, including the expansion of sanctions beyond traditional terrorism and proliferation concerns to encompass human rights violations, drug trafficking and corruption. The Russian invasions of Ukraine in 2014 and 2022 have been particularly significant catalysts.
The report also reveals that the US remains a dominant force.
The Office of Foreign Asset Control (OFAC) continues to be the primary driver of global sanctions growth, showing annual inflation of 21.3% and reaching a sub-index value of 316. This reinforces the United States’ position as the world’s most active sanctions authority.
However, other major sanctions bodies are showing signs of moderation:
- EU – 10.5% annual inflation (down from 16.7%);
- UK – 7.4% (12.8%);
- Canada – 9.6% (15.4%);
- Japan – 4.6% (9.1%).
Chinese sanctions programmes have exploded with 153% annual inflation, reaching an index value of 1,507. This dramatic acceleration from just 23.6% a year ago signals China’s increasing use of economic coercion as a foreign policy tool.
The report identifies a troubling new trend, the emergence of “hyper-divergence” in global sanctions policy. The consensus-based UN sanctions programme now represents just 1.22% of all global sanctions – an all-time low – meaning nearly 99% of sanctions come from autonomous national or regional programmes.
This fracturing is most evident in approaches to Russia. While the Trump administration has signalled potential easing of sanctions against Moscow, other Western allies including the European Union and United Kingdom have actually strengthened their restrictions and enforcement mechanisms.
The report introduces “Uncertainty” as a new defining characteristic of the 2025 sanctions environment. Key questions include:
- will U.S.-Russia rapprochement lead to sanctions relief?
- how will other Western nations respond to potential American policy shifts?
- will the novel concept of “secondary tariffs” expand beyond Venezuela?
The Trump administration’s threat of 25% secondary tariffs on countries purchasing Venezuelan oil represents an unprecedented extension of sanctions into trade policy, with unclear implications for global commerce.
The complexity of the modern sanctions environment is creating exponential increases in compliance costs for businesses worldwide. The shift toward “privatization” of sanctions enforcement,-requiring companies to interpret broad narrative statements rather than simple lists, has made compliance significantly more challenging.
While some experts speculate that sanctions may have reached their peak, the report’s authors remain cautious about predictions in such a volatile environment.
“In a year like 2025 with major geopolitical and economic dislocations and decisions being made and unmade in rapid succession, predicting the future seems especially difficult,” the report states.
What appears certain is that organisations must remain vigilant and adaptive as the sanctions landscape continues to evolve rapidly, with potential for both dramatic escalation and unexpected de-escalation depending on geopolitical developments.
The Global Sanctions Index, launched in 2022, uses LSEG’s World-Check database to track all sanctions regimes worldwide, providing the most comprehensive view of global economic restrictions available to date.